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Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Heracles Almelo – over 3 goals at 4/5
Today’s featured game is the Eredivisie game between high-flying Feyenoord Rotterdam and crazy Heracles Almelo.
Feyenoord have really, really impressed me this season especially when it’s considered that they don’t have the budget of Ajax or PSV and yet they’re still battling for the UEFA Champions League places. Feyenoord rely heavily on their own academy produce, year in, year out, and they should be commended for it. There are some very good players in this side but most of all, Feyenoord play very entertaining attacking football. I think it’s fair to say that Swedish hotshot Guidetti has bailed them out a few times this season but overall it’s been a very strong team effort.
However, due to the youthful naivety of their team, Feyenoord can also fall down at the most simple of hurdles. You’d expect them to win at De Kuip more often than they actually do and you’d also expect better displays too. Feyenoord do struggle against the more defence-minded sides but flourish against the best in the league and against sides that play an open game. Happily for us, Heracles play a very open game and thus Feyenoord should be able to get a much-needed three points from today’s game.
However, Heracles themselves may have something to say about the game yet. This is one side that it’s wise to never underestimate because they’re always good for springing a surprise. Admittedly, they tend to surprise far more on their artificial turf at the Polman Stadion than they do on natural turf and they’ll have to play bloody well to upset the odds at De Kuip.
I won’t rule out Heracles doing it, though. They need three points to keep their faint hopes of a UEFA Europa League place alive and they’ve got the firepower to do it. Midfield engine Overtoom is still out, which is a big blow and makes me favour Feyenoord that bit more as a result. You still have to expect Armenteros, Everton, and Douglas to produce something here against a dubious Feyenoord defence though. Heracles play attacking football because that’s all they know how to do. Unlike ADO Den Haag, for example, Heracles do not have the luxury of being able to sit back and hold a lead. Therefore, Heracles tend to push on to try and score more goals, which can either be a stroke of genius or a suicidal move depending on the opponent.
Not many sides have conceded more goals away from home this season in the Eredivisie than Heracles have and that’s because of the reasons I’ve mentioned above. In all of Heracles’ away games against the big sides (e.g. PSV, Ajax, AZ, Twente) this season, they’ve conceded a minimum of two goals per game. They’ve upset local rivals Twente with a deserved 2-3 win but they do tend to be on the receiving end of heavy scorelines and that’s what I’ve got in mind today. I expect a 3-1 or 4-1 but rather than relying on the youth of Feyenoord to break the handicap at a pressurised time and with a s*** defence, I’d much rather take over 3 goals as it looks a complete steal at 4/5.
Verdict: Over 3 goals at 4/5